S&P 500 (H)
On a higher term basis: A break below the 4629.25 line on 1/18/22 warned of decent pressure and rejected the medium-term uptrend we’ve been in since 3/23/20. On 8/22/22 we released the medium-term bearish reversal above, which brought pressure from the 4178.75 open to 676.75. These are PENDING. On a lower term basis: I warned of a possible exhaustion at 3531.25-04.75, which could lead to an upside correction with a minimum target of 3793.00 – we held this at 3502.00 low and pulled back to 678.00, removing the target.; but the higher time frame minimum target is 4190.50 – we just shyed away from this morning’s high of 4180.00. These are PENDING. I warned that if 4180.00 breaks higher, it will likely start a downward correction to cross 224.00 from the high – we have seen 391.50. This is PENDING. A trade above 3851.94 (-.37/hr) warned of renewed strength – we saw 157.50. A trade above the 3874.02 (-42/hour) level led to 99.25 strength. However, this day came out weak and ready for pressure. A decent trade below 3860.60 (+.28 on the hour starting at 9:30) would project this to the downside. A decent trade below 3839.54 (+19/hour) will also warn of decent pressure; but look for decent short cover here if we bounce back decently below and decently above.
Gold (G)
On a higher term basis: I warned on 8/16/18 that a break above $1,179.7-$1,183.7 was alerted with new strength. We saw $905.5. A break above $1,347.0 predicted this rally with a low of $80 and a high of $320 (+). We have raised $744.2. These are OFF LOOK. We had a big sell-off at $2,071.6-$93.2 at $2,089.2 and broke through $46.7. We went from $2079.6 to $456.6. These are ON LINE. In less time frame: A break above $1,641.2 (+1 tick/hour) added $245.2. A solid trade above $1,679.5 (-1 tick/hour) lifted it above a major formation – a minimum $80 gain is forecast. So far we have raised $206.9. A trade above $1,752.1 (-.3 ticks per hour) brought in $134.3 of the warned strength. We are in the third part of a higher timeframe bull structure. I would be aware of possible areas of exhaustion that I could contend with on the way up to $1,907.1-23.3, which are a combination of both lower and higher timeframe exhaustion. A break above $1,860.0 warned of new strength – we saw $26.4. A decent trade below $1,873.4 (+1 tick per hour starting at 5:00 AM) should provide decent pressure.
Bitcoin
On a higher term basis: The decline on 11/10/21 made this a downtrend. I warned that the sale would have to go over $13,000 from $69,355 – of which we saw $54,430. We ran out of the bullish correction of the move down to $59,545 and broke above $44,620. We are down $36,080 from a close of $51,005. On a lower term basis: A trade below $34,830 put it below a significant bearish formation, projecting a low of $13,000 and a high of $35,000 (+). We won $19,905. We kept the exhaustion at $25,265-$495 and went high at $25,270 and broke through $10,345. We held a close at $22,630 and a high of $22,875 and a break above $7,950. A break below $18,065 (-5 ticks per hour) brought $3,140 of the warned pressure. These are PENDING. A break above $16,275-60 brought $1,165 strength. A trade above 17244 (+3/hour) warns of an ongoing high trade. A decent trade below where it came in at 17303 (+3 on the hour starting at 6:00 am) will cancel out the upside bias. A decent trade below $16,564 (-1.6 hours since 6:00 AM) will warn of decent pressure.
Crude Oil (WTI) (G)
On top of it macro basic: On 04/29/20 we missed a bullish reversal below – we saw (N) $115.13 from $15.37. We pulled out a big trendline at $55.15, which warned of significant strength. We saw $75.35. A break above $57.45 to $8.02 predicted this rise with a low of $56 and a high of $89 (+). We won $72.48. These are PENDING. On a shorter-term basis: A trade below $119.15 led to pressure at $49.07. A trade below $111.00 led to pressure at $40.92. A trade below $97.18 projected it to a maximum of $8.30 (+) lower. These are OFF HOLD. We held the low at $70.31 and moved up to $11.19 against a move below $83.34. Here it is ON LINE. We are in a bearish correction/trend against the move above $70.31, with the final area of potential exhaustion (if it is a correction) coming in at $72.70 – we basically held it at the $72.46 low and retreated $4.28 – which is very the potential to initiate a weekly bull structure. A decent trade below $76.79 would bring this down to $4.70 – we got $4.33 before briefly covering the low. I noted that we missed the medium-term bearish reversal from Wednesday, which warned of pressure. A decent trade above $76.60 would negate this and warn of new strength. A trade above $79.98 would predict a low of $8.40 and a high of $25.80 (+).
Natural Gas (G)
On top of it higher time frame: A trade below 8208 warned of decent pressure. I warned that a decent trade below 7188 would be a new sign of weakness – we broke out of the 3668 tick. NOTE: A trade below 5136-4993 lowers the 3-month low of $2.80, $5.30 (+) high – we traded low at $1,690. These are PENDING. If we pull back solidly above 5048-192, this will signal a solid high trade towards 7800 (+) for weeks. On top of it shorter term basis: A trade above 3733 (-8 tics/hour) issued a strength warning. A decent trade below where it came from at 3507 (starting at 8:00 am -8 tics/hour) should bring decent pressure.
Commodity trading involves a significant degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Michael Moor does not guarantee profits and is not responsible for any trading losses of subscribers. No representation, declaration or implication is made that any investor will achieve results, profits or losses that are even remotely similar to hypothetical results. Past performance is in no way indicative of future results. The information contained in this bulletin should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to purchase any securities or commodities. Any copying, reprinting, broadcasting or distribution of this report without the express written consent of Michael Moor is strictly prohibited. Michael Moor may carry out transactions on a special trading account that may or may not be consistent with the content of the newsletter. The content, statements and opinions expressed in this publication are solely those of Michael Moore individually and cannot be attributed to any person or entity other than Michael Moore.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect his views Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a requirement to make any exchange for commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article accepts no responsibility for any loss and/or damage resulting from the use of this publication.